Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prediction Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 99% |
| Spread -1.5 | 98% |
| Spread -3.5 | 98% |
| Spread -5.5 | 98% |
| Spread -6.5 | 98% |
| Spread -7.5 | 98% |
| Spread -2.5 | 97% |
| Spread -4.5 | 97% |
| Spread -10.5 | 97% |
| O/U 47.5 | 97% |
| O/U 49.5 | 97% |
| O/U 51.5 | 97% |
| Spread -9.5 | 97% |
| Spread -13.5 | 96% |
| Spread -11.5 | 96% |
| Spread -14.5 | 94% |
| O/U 55.5 | 94% |
| Spread -16.5 | 93% |
| Spread -17.5 | 92% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 92% |
| Spread -20.5 | 88% |
| O/U 53.5 | 88% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 88% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 88% |
| Spread -21.5 | 87% |
| O/U 59.5 | 84% |
| O/U 61.5 | 83% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 83% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 82% |
| O/U 57.5 | 80% |
| Spread -24.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 76% |
| O/U 63.5 | 75% |
| Spread -27.5 | 72% |
| O/U 69.5 | 71% |
| Spread -22.5 | 70% |
| O/U 65.5 | 67% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 64% |
| O/U 67.5 | 63% |
| O/U 71.5 | 62% |
| Spread -30.5 | 60% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 58% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 58% |
| Spread -28.5 | 56% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| Texas Tech O/U 26.5 | 53% |
| Texas Tech O/U 29.5 | 53% |
| Texas Tech O/U 32.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| O/U 45.5 | 51% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 49% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 49% |
| Texas Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -31.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| O/U 73.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| O/U 75.5 | 44% |
| Spread -34.5 | 33% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 22% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Spread -6.5 | 2% |
| Spread -5.5 | 2% |
| Spread -2.5 | 2% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech | 1% |
| Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| Spread -4.5 | 1% |
| Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| Spread -1.5 | 1% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Marktkonsens: 100% Chance für prognose: arizona state vs. texas tech. Prognosemärkte bündeln echtes Kapital zu diesem Wahrscheinlichkeitssignal. In the upcoming college football game between Arizona State and Texas Tech, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win …
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $395K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Prediction Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prediction Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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