Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prediction Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 83% |
| O/U 35.5 | 81% |
| O/U 37.5 | 78% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 77% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 77% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College | 76% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 20.5 | 74% |
| Spread -1.5 | 73% |
| O/U 39.5 | 72% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 71% |
| Spread -2.5 | 69% |
| O/U 41.5 | 69% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 66% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 23.5 | 65% |
| Spread -3.5 | 64% |
| Spread -4.5 | 63% |
| Spread -0.5 | 57% |
| Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| O/U 43.5 | 55% |
| Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 53% |
| O/U 45.5 | 52% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 51% |
| Boston College Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 49% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| O/U 47.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Spread -10.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| O/U 49.5 | 37% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Spread -13.5 | 32% |
| O/U 51.5 | 32% |
| Boston College O/U 23.5 | 31% |
| Spread -8.5 | 29% |
| Spread -14.5 | 28% |
| O/U 53.5 | 28% |
| O/U 55.5 | 28% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 25% |
| Spread -1.5 | 23% |
| Spread -16.5 | 22% |
| O/U 75.5 | 22% |
| O/U 69.5 | 21% |
| O/U 71.5 | 21% |
| O/U 73.5 | 21% |
| Spread -17.5 | 20% |
| Spread -8.5 | 20% |
| Spread -2.5 | 18% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| O/U 57.5 | 16% |
| Spread -4.5 | 15% |
| Spread -3.5 | 14% |
| O/U 59.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 13% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 12% |
| Spread -5.5 | 11% |
| Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| O/U 65.5 | 11% |
| Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| O/U 61.5 | 10% |
| O/U 63.5 | 10% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| O/U 67.5 | 5% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| Spread -13.5 | 4% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 4% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 100% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Pittsburgh vs. Boston College. In the upcoming college football game between Pittsburgh and Boston College, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh" if Pittsburgh win the game. This market wi…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $321K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Prediction Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prediction Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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