Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prediction Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 97% |
| Spread -2.5 | 95% |
| Spread -3.5 | 95% |
| Spread -4.5 | 95% |
| O/U 37.5 | 95% |
| Spread -0.5 | 94% |
| Spread -5.5 | 94% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 94% |
| Spread -6.5 | 93% |
| Spread -7.5 | 93% |
| O/U 43.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 91% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 12.5 | 90% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 14.5 | 90% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 16.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 90% |
| Spread -9.5 | 89% |
| Spread -11.5 | 88% |
| Spread -12.5 | 86% |
| Spread -10.5 | 85% |
| Spread -13.5 | 85% |
| O/U 35.5 | 85% |
| O/U 39.5 | 84% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 84% |
| O/U 47.5 | 83% |
| Spread -14.5 | 82% |
| O/U 41.5 | 82% |
| Oregon State O/U 35.5 | 80% |
| O/U 45.5 | 79% |
| O/U 49.5 | 79% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 79% |
| Spread -16.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 78% |
| Spread -17.5 | 76% |
| O/U 51.5 | 75% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 74% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 74% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 72% |
| Spread -18.5 | 72% |
| O/U 53.5 | 71% |
| Spread -19.5 | 71% |
| Spread -22.5 | 70% |
| Spread -20.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| Spread -21.5 | 67% |
| Oregon State O/U 23.5 | 65% |
| O/U 55.5 | 62% |
| Spread -25.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 61% |
| Spread -23.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 57% |
| Spread -24.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| O/U 59.5 | 53% |
| Spread -28.5 | 53% |
| O/U 57.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 51% |
| Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Washington State vs. Oregon State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Washington State vs. Oregon State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington State vs. Oregon State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Washington State vs. Oregon State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Washington State vs. Oregon State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington State vs. Oregon State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 49% |
| Oregon State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 48% |
| Spread -31.5 | 47% |
| Spread -32.5 | 46% |
| O/U 61.5 | 45% |
| O/U 63.5 | 43% |
| Spread -34.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| Spread -35.5 | 37% |
| Washington State O/U 20.5 | 33% |
| Spread -38.5 | 32% |
| O/U 65.5 | 31% |
| O/U 67.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| O/U 69.5 | 26% |
| O/U 71.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 24% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 24% |
| O/U 73.5 | 23% |
| O/U 75.5 | 23% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Washington State O/U 23.5 | 20% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 10% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 10% |
| Washington State vs. Oregon State | 4% |
| Spread -2.5 | 4% |
| Spread -13.5 | 3% |
| Spread -10.5 | 3% |
| Spread -7.5 | 3% |
| Spread -6.5 | 3% |
| Spread -5.5 | 3% |
| Spread -3.5 | 3% |
| Spread -1.5 | 3% |
| Spread -4.5 | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Washington State vs. Oregon State. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 4% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-17T22:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $127K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Prediction Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prediction Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prediction Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Washington State vs. Oregon State" auf Prediction Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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