Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prediction Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 18.5 | 94% |
| O/U 20.5 | 94% |
| O/U 22.5 | 93% |
| O/U 24.5 | 90% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 88% |
| Steelers O/U 12.5 | 87% |
| Steelers O/U 10.5 | 86% |
| O/U 26.5 | 84% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 84% |
| O/U 28.5 | 81% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 79% |
| Browns O/U 10.5 | 79% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 77% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 77% |
| Steelers O/U 13.5 | 77% |
| Browns O/U 12.5 | 77% |
| O/U 30.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 6.5 | 73% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 70% |
| O/U 32.5 | 69% |
| Browns O/U 13.5 | 69% |
| Steelers O/U 16.5 | 67% |
| Browns 1H O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| O/U 34.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 61% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 61% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 61% |
| O/U 35.5 | 60% |
| Steelers vs. Browns | 57% |
| O/U 36.5 | 57% |
| Browns O/U 16.5 | 57% |
| 1H Moneyline | 57% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 56% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 56% |
| Steelers O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| Browns 1H O/U 12.5 | 56% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 55% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 55% |
| O/U 37.5 | 54% |
| Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 53% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Browns 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 51% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 50% |
| Steelers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Browns Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Steelers vs. Browns: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Steelers Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Browns Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Steelers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 48% |
| Steelers O/U 20.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| Browns O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| O/U 40.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 10.5 | 42% |
| Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| O/U 41.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 12.5 | 41% |
| Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| O/U 42.5 | 39% |
| Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Browns O/U 20.5 | 38% |
| Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 37% |
| Spread -6.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Steelers O/U 23.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 35% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| O/U 44.5 | 32% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 30% |
| Browns 1H O/U 10.5 | 30% |
| Spread -7.5 | 29% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 13.5 | 29% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 27% |
| Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| Browns O/U 23.5 | 27% |
| O/U 46.5 | 26% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 24% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| Browns 1H O/U 13.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 23% |
| Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 22% |
| O/U 48.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Spread -13.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 20% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| O/U 50.5 | 19% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 19% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 16.5 | 19% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 18% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 17% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Steelers O/U 26.5 | 17% |
| Browns 1H O/U 17.5 | 17% |
| Spread -8.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 14% |
| Steelers O/U 27.5 | 14% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 17.5 | 14% |
| Browns 1H O/U 16.5 | 14% |
| O/U 52.5 | 13% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 13% |
| Browns O/U 26.5 | 13% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 1-6 | 13% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 1-6 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 12% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| O/U 54.5 | 10% |
| O/U 56.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Steelers O/U 30.5 | 10% |
| Browns O/U 27.5 | 10% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Spread -19.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 9% |
| Browns O/U 30.5 | 9% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 7-12 | 9% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Steelers O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Browns O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 7-13 | 8% |
| Safety? | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| O/U 64.5 | 7% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 20.5 | 7% |
| Browns 1H O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| O/U 58.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Browns 1H O/U 20.5 | 6% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 13-18 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| O/U 60.5 | 5% |
| O/U 62.5 | 5% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 19-24 | 4% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 14-20 | 4% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 25+ | 3% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 21+ | 3% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 1% |
Markt-Kontext
Steelers vs. Browns. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 57% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-02T00:15:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $88K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Steelers vs. Browns über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Prediction Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prediction Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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