Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prediction Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 96% |
| O/U 26.5 | 94% |
| O/U 28.5 | 92% |
| Colts O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| O/U 30.5 | 89% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 88% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 87% |
| Colts O/U 10.5 | 87% |
| O/U 32.5 | 85% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 85% |
| Titans O/U 12.5 | 85% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 83% |
| Titans O/U 10.5 | 83% |
| Colts O/U 19.5 | 83% |
| O/U 34.5 | 80% |
| Colts O/U 12.5 | 79% |
| Colts O/U 13.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 76% |
| O/U 36.5 | 75% |
| Colts O/U 20.5 | 73% |
| Spread -1.5 | 72% |
| Titans O/U 13.5 | 72% |
| Colts 1H O/U 6.5 | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 71% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 71% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| O/U 38.5 | 70% |
| Spread -2.5 | 70% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 65% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 65% |
| O/U 40.5 | 64% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 62% |
| Colts O/U 23.5 | 62% |
| Spread -3.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 60% |
| Titans O/U 16.5 | 60% |
| Spread -4.5 | 59% |
| O/U 42.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 59% |
| Colts 1H O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| Colts 1H O/U 12.5 | 59% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 58% |
| Titans 1H O/U 6.5 | 57% |
| Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 55% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| O/U 44.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| Titans 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Titans 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Titans by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Titans by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Titans by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Titans by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Colts by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Colts by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Colts by 21+ | 50% |
| Titans Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Colts Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Titans Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| Colts O/U 26.5 | 49% |
| Colts 1H O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 49% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Titans O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 46% |
| Colts Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 46% |
| Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| O/U 46.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| Colts 1H O/U 17.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| Spread -8.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 42% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 42% |
| Spread -9.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| Colts O/U 27.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Titans 1H O/U 10.5 | 40% |
| O/U 48.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Titans O/U 20.5 | 39% |
| Colts 1H O/U 16.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 38% |
| Titans 1H O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 37% |
| Spread -10.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 36% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 36% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Colts 1H O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| Exact Margin: Colts by 1-6 | 35% |
| Titans vs. Colts: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| O/U 50.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 33% |
| Colts 1H O/U 20.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 1H Moneyline | 32% |
| Spread -13.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 31% |
| Exact Margin: Titans by 1-6 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| Colts O/U 30.5 | 30% |
| Titans 1H O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 29% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 29% |
| O/U 52.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Titans O/U 23.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 27% |
| Titans 1H O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Safety? | 27% |
| Titans vs. Colts | 26% |
| Titans 1H O/U 20.5 | 26% |
| Spread -14.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 25% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 24% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 24% |
| O/U 54.5 | 23% |
| Spread -1.5 | 23% |
| Spread -16.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 23% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 23% |
| Titans O/U 30.5 | 23% |
| Spread -2.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 21% |
| Spread -17.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 20% |
| O/U 56.5 | 19% |
| Titans O/U 34.5 | 19% |
| Spread -19.5 | 18% |
| Spread -3.5 | 17% |
| O/U 58.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Spread -5.5 | 13% |
| Spread -21.5 | 13% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| O/U 60.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| Titans O/U 26.5 | 12% |
| Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| Spread -19.5 | 11% |
| Spread -21.5 | 11% |
| Titans O/U 27.5 | 11% |
| Colts O/U 34.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| O/U 62.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| O/U 64.5 | 8% |
| O/U 66.5 | 8% |
| Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| Spread -8.5 | 6% |
| Spread -9.5 | 6% |
| Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 4% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
Markt-Kontext
Titans vs. Colts. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 26% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-18T17:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $114K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Prediction Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prediction Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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