Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prediction Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 21.5 | 93% |
| O/U 23.5 | 92% |
| Panthers O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| O/U 24.5 | 90% |
| O/U 25.5 | 89% |
| O/U 26.5 | 86% |
| Panthers O/U 10.5 | 85% |
| O/U 27.5 | 83% |
| O/U 28.5 | 82% |
| Panthers O/U 13.5 | 82% |
| Eagles O/U 12.5 | 82% |
| O/U 29.5 | 79% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 78% |
| Eagles O/U 10.5 | 78% |
| O/U 30.5 | 77% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| O/U 31.5 | 74% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 71% |
| Panthers O/U 16.5 | 71% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 70% |
| O/U 32.5 | 69% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 69% |
| O/U 33.5 | 68% |
| Eagles O/U 13.5 | 67% |
| Panthers vs. Eagles | 64% |
| O/U 35.5 | 64% |
| O/U 34.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 64% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 64% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 64% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 6.5 | 63% |
| Spread -1.5 | 61% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 61% |
| 1H Moneyline | 61% |
| Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| O/U 36.5 | 59% |
| Panthers O/U 19.5 | 59% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 56% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 6.5 | 56% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 56% |
| O/U 37.5 | 55% |
| Eagles O/U 16.5 | 55% |
| Panthers O/U 20.5 | 54% |
| O/U 38.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 21+ | 50% |
| Panthers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Eagles Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Eagles Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| O/U 39.5 | 49% |
| Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| Spread -4.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 12.5 | 46% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 12.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| O/U 40.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 44% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Eagles O/U 19.5 | 42% |
| O/U 41.5 | 41% |
| Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 17.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| Panthers O/U 23.5 | 40% |
| Panthers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| O/U 42.5 | 39% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 39% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 39% |
| Eagles Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 10.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 37% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 16.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 36% |
| O/U 43.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 35% |
| Eagles O/U 20.5 | 35% |
| Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| Panthers vs. Eagles: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 34% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 1-6 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| O/U 44.5 | 32% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 32% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| Spread -8.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 17.5 | 31% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 1-6 | 31% |
| O/U 45.5 | 30% |
| Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 19.5 | 29% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 16.5 | 29% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| O/U 46.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 27% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 20.5 | 27% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Safety? | 27% |
| Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 26% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| Eagles O/U 30.5 | 26% |
| Eagles O/U 34.5 | 26% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 20.5 | 26% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 26% |
| O/U 47.5 | 25% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 25% |
| Eagles O/U 23.5 | 25% |
| Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 23% |
| Panthers O/U 27.5 | 23% |
| O/U 49.5 | 22% |
| Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| O/U 48.5 | 22% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 22% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 21% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 21% |
| Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| O/U 50.5 | 20% |
| Panthers O/U 26.5 | 19% |
| Spread -14.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 17% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| O/U 51.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 16% |
| Spread -21.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 15% |
| O/U 52.5 | 15% |
| O/U 53.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 14% |
| Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 12% |
| O/U 54.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Panthers O/U 30.5 | 11% |
| Eagles O/U 26.5 | 11% |
| O/U 55.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| O/U 56.5 | 9% |
| Eagles O/U 27.5 | 9% |
| O/U 57.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| O/U 58.5 | 7% |
| O/U 62.5 | 7% |
| O/U 64.5 | 7% |
| O/U 59.5 | 6% |
| O/U 61.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| O/U 60.5 | 5% |
Markt-Kontext
Live-Daten von Polymarket zeigen 93% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Panthers vs. Eagles. In the upcoming NFL football game between Panthers and Eagles, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Panthers" if Panthers win the game. This market will resolve to "Eagl…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $231K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Prediction Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prediction Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prediction Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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