Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prediction Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 97% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 94% |
| O/U 24.5 | 87% |
| Broncos O/U 10.5 | 87% |
| O/U 26.5 | 81% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 77% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 73% |
| O/U 28.5 | 70% |
| Chargers O/U 10.5 | 70% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| Broncos vs. Chargers | 64% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 62% |
| Spread -1.5 | 61% |
| Spread -2.5 | 61% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 57% |
| Broncos O/U 16.5 | 56% |
| Broncos O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| Chargers O/U 16.5 | 56% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 6.5 | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 55% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 21+ | 51% |
| O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Broncos O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Broncos O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Chargers O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Chargers O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Chargers O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 14-20 | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Broncos Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Chargers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Broncos vs. Chargers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Broncos Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Chargers Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Chargers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| O/U 30.5 | 48% |
| Spread -19.5 | 48% |
| Spread -21.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| O/U 32.5 | 46% |
| Broncos O/U 12.5 | 46% |
| Broncos O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Chargers O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| Chargers O/U 12.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 34% |
| O/U 34.5 | 33% |
| O/U 36.5 | 30% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 30% |
| Spread -6.5 | 29% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 22% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| Spread -3.5 | 20% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 20% |
| Chargers O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Broncos O/U 20.5 | 18% |
| O/U 38.5 | 17% |
| Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| O/U 40.5 | 14% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| Spread -5.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Broncos O/U 23.5 | 14% |
| Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 12% |
| Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 11% |
| Broncos O/U 26.5 | 10% |
| Broncos O/U 27.5 | 10% |
| O/U 42.5 | 9% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 9% |
| Chargers O/U 20.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Chargers O/U 23.5 | 8% |
| Chargers O/U 26.5 | 8% |
| Spread -13.5 | 6% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| Spread -8.5 | 5% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 5% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 5% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 5% |
| O/U 44.5 | 4% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -7.5 | 4% |
| Spread -9.5 | 4% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 4% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 4% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 4% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 4% |
| O/U 46.5 | 3% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 3% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 3% |
| O/U 48.5 | 2% |
| O/U 50.5 | 2% |
| O/U 54.5 | 2% |
| Spread -16.5 | 2% |
| Spread -19.5 | 2% |
| Spread -20.5 | 2% |
| Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| Spread -16.5 | 2% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
| O/U 52.5 | 1% |
| O/U 56.5 | 1% |
| O/U 58.5 | 1% |
| O/U 64.5 | 1% |
| Spread -17.5 | 1% |
| Spread -21.5 | 1% |
| Spread -13.5 | 1% |
| Spread -14.5 | 1% |
| Spread -17.5 | 1% |
| Spread -20.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 1% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Marktkonsens: 100% Chance für prognose: broncos vs. chargers. Prognosemärkte bündeln echtes Kapital zu diesem Wahrscheinlichkeitssignal. In the upcoming NFL football game between Broncos and Chargers, scheduled for October 11 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Broncos" if Broncos win the game. This market wi…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $1.6M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Broncos vs. Chargers über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Prediction Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prediction Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prediction Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2214%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2236%22%20height%3D%228%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23be123c%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
und%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%23be123c%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Jetzt „Prognose: Broncos vs. Chargers" auf Prediction Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →